Research brief
SAMPLE EVIDENCEPick scenarios
Illustrative model estimates, not trained predictions. Positive gross value does not establish a tradable edge.
SPORTS EVENT WORKSPACE
Research the game.
Define your edge.
Kalshi markets: real, timestamped REST snapshots. Sample lab: synthetic research and paper orders. Predictive models and AI research are not connected. No real orders.
Kalshi sports markets
Read-only quotes. Prices are market prices, not model predictions. Refresh before relying on a quote.
SIMULATED EXECUTION
Paper order book
Move an example executable quote to test entries and exits. Results exclude fees and do not model queue priority. Paper orders last for this page session only.
RESEARCH ONLY
Build a combo thesis
Select up to four legs from the example pick scenarios. Joint probability and exchange price remain unavailable until a validated dependence model and eligible Kalshi quote are connected.
Combined probability
Not estimated. Shared players and game outcomes create dependence between legs.
This is a research basket, not a submitted exchange combo.
MASTER PLAN • V0.1
From research to execution
Download the complete master build plan
What makes research trustworthy
Official injury and lineup reports, player role and usage, team form, opponent scheme, rest, travel and weather. Every material claim needs its source, publication time, retrieval time and confirmation status. Facts, model estimates and hypotheses remain distinct.
Free and open-source historical tooling comes first. Current injury and live game coverage require a separate source and licensing assessment. No live trading until research, modeling, execution and account access gates pass.